Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100?
One-OffCienciaManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 98.3%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado18 ene 26, 16:25 UTC31 dic 99, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Sloth Bear (Melursus ursinus) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Western Gorilla (Gorilla gorilla) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Koala (Phascolarctos cinereus) become extinct in the current century?
Manifold MarketsWill the Dodo bird be de-extinct by the end of 2028?
FutuurExtinct mammoth hybrids to be born alive by the end of 2027?
FutuurWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
PolymarketReglas
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle, a species that is classified as “Critically Endangered” on the IUCN Red List (last assessment: 2018).
- It will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier.
- It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct.
- The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the species persists.
- For more information about the species, see:
- IUCN Red List assessment
Mercados abiertos
Science
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 211 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 110,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 21,3 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100??
- Está previsto que Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2099.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the wild population of Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle (Rafetus swinhoei) become Extinct by 2100??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Yangtze Giant Softshell Turtle, a species that is classified as “Critically Endangered” on the IUCN Red List (last assessment: 2018).