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Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Regulación1a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 67.2%

Pronosticadores

12

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 13 horas

Desactualizado

9 feb 26, 22:48 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

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Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the White House makes an official public announcement stating that ICE deportations have exceeded 1 million by December 31, 2027.
The announcement must come from official White House communications (press releases, statements from the President, DHS Secretary, or other authorized administration officials) and be verifiable through official government sources such as whitehouse.gov or dhs.gov.
For resolution purposes, "deportations" refers to formal removals as reported by the Department of Homeland Security's Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), consistent with how the administration has publicly reported these figures.
The market resolves NO if no such announcement is made by EOY 2027, or if official figures show cumulative deportations remain at or below 1 million.
The Department of Homeland Security's FY 2026 budget justification requests funding increases "to support the Administration's strategy of 1,000,000 removals per year." As of January 2026, the Trump administration reported nearly 3 million illegal aliens have left the U.S., including an estimated 2.2 million self-deportations and more than 675,000 deportations.

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Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027?: Manifold Markets cotiza No al 67% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027?: Está previsto que Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
¿Cómo se liquida Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027?: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria

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