Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualDismissed on procedural grounds 56.5%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado31 mar 26, 21:21 UTC31 dic 27, 22:16 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Buckets here are trying their best to be mutually exclusive.
- Resolves to whatever happens in the highest / last court to rule on this case (NTHP v the US)
- Trump / Defendants Win on Merits (Executive Authority Affirmed): The highest court rules that the administration does possess the statutory or constitutional authority to proceed with the privately funded construction, permanently lifting the injunction based on the merits of the case.
- the named outcome (Injunction Upheld): The highest court to issue a final ruling affirms Judge Leon's core argument—that the executive branch lacks the authority to execute this specific project without express Congressional authorization.
- The injunction becomes permanent.
- Dismissal on Procedural Grounds (Standing / Justiciability): An appellate court or the Supreme Court throws the case out without ruling on the underlying executive power question.
