¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "the USA and the whole world burn" during Trump's term??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 2 de noviembre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "the USA and the whole world burn" during Trump's term??

Está previsto que Will "the USA and the whole world burn" during Trump's term? se resuelva el 15 de enero de 2029.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 84%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 horas

Desactualizado

22 ene 25, 13:51 UTC15 ene 29, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

A global conflict or lots of strife and smaller wars, or some other catastrophe at least indirectly caused by or involving the Trump administration.

https://bsky.app/profile/bladeofthes.bsky.social/post/3lgazwndnrs2i
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky.
They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
Inspired by the Rumble market series by @CodeandSolder