Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 78.3%
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15
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado25 jul 26, 17:00 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?
PolymarketUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Not simply export controls, as happened with Fable.
- That order allowed the model to be run, just restricted access (even though in practice partial / limited access wasn't a viable option).
- This might be law, court order, or executive order.
- It might be permanent or temporary ("halt training until your sandbox passes an audit").
Mercados abiertos
AI
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- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US Government halt training or deployment of an AI model by EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 78% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US Government halt training or deployment of an AI model by EOY 2028??
- Está previsto que Will the US Government halt training or deployment of an AI model by EOY 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US Government halt training or deployment of an AI model by EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Not simply export controls, as happened with Fable.