¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97.6% a fecha de 27 de octubre de 2026.

Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 97.6%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 horas

Desactualizado

11 sept 25, 17:08 UTC4 nov 26, 18:00 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

This market resolves Yes if the US government declares an official day of remembrance of Charlie Kirk before the 2026 midterm elections.

The holiday must be an annual event, not a one-time ceremony, but it does not need to include time off from work.
If an existing holiday is rebranded to be about Charlie Kirk, that will also count for Yes.
A new holiday or rebrand that does not mention Charlie Kirk by name will need to explicitly mention him in its announcement as central to its theme and meaning.
State and local holidays will not count; only an act of congress or the Trump administration will suffice.
Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.