Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 89.4%
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9
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado20 may 24, 18:21 UTC22 may 34, 3:59 UTC
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Given the movement in conservative circles towards greater fertility, and general angst among politicos regarding declining birthrates, it is feasible that our politicians and/or cultural influencers find some methods to encourage fertility in the US, and we see an increase in birthrates back to replacement.
- Will this happen in the next decade?
- Current projections provided no interventions:
- https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59899#:~:text=In%20CBO's%20projections%2C%20the%20total%20fertility%20rate%20rises%20from%201.67,and%20to%201.60%20by%202054.
