Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 83.9%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado12 ago 24, 12:18 UTC1 ene 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
FutuurFed Decision in September?
PolymarketReglas
This question resolves as yes if, for any 12-month period before 2030, the change in the US CPI-U (as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics) is negative, and the real GDP growth (as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis) is greater than 5%.
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 90,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 358,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,6 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 554,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,8 mil €
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 79,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,6 mil €
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question resolves as yes if, for any 12-month period before 2030, the change in the US CPI-U (as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics) is negative, and the real GDP growth (as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis) is greater than 5%.