Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?
IAOne-OffRegulaciónTecnología2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 52.9%
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7
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 24 minutos
28 abr 23, 13:56 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 that clarifies the liability of AI developers for concrete AI harms, particularly clear physical or financial harms, including those resulting from negligent security practices.
- The framework should specifically address the risks from frontier AI models carrying out actions, aiming to incentivize greater investment in safety and security by AI developers.
- Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.
