Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 71.6%
Pronosticadores
31
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado11 nov 23, 22:19 UTC1 ene 34, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the United States no longer be a democracy within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill this app be around in ten years?
Manifold MarketsWill Liquid Death canned water still be sold in USA stores ten years from now? (2024-2034)
Manifold MarketsWill the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExUnited States vs. Peru
PolymarketReglas
As defined by Freedom House rating the US as "not free" at any point between now and 2033. 39% of Americans believe this will happen.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt65.7%
- No change-1.0pt32.4%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 11,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.5pt91%
- Republican Party+0.6pt9%
- Volumen total
- 32,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 982,4 mil €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-6.0pt67%
- Susan Collins+5.0pt33%
- Volumen total
- 5,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 758,8 mil €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?
- Ballroom99%
- Melania99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
+28 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 627,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 598,8 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt60.4%
- Republican Party+4.0pt39.6%
- Volumen total
- 9,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 584,8 mil €
KALSHIAlaska Senate winner?
- Democratic party-4.0pt71.7%
- Republican party+2.0pt28.3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 445,5 mil €
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Maine Senate Election Winner
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 71.6% a fecha de 24 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years??
- Está previsto que Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2034.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As defined by Freedom House rating the US as "not free" at any point between now and 2033. 39% of Americans believe this will happen.