Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026
One-OffUS PoliticsElecciónPolítica1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 64.5%
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13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado20 feb 26, 21:47 UTC4 nov 26, 1:00 UTC
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ForecastExWhich party will win the 2026 US House election in Maine's 2nd District?
PredictItMaine's 2nd District margin of victory
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- The general election is November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if a Republican wins Maine's 2nd Congressional District House seat in the 2026 general election, and NO if a Democrat wins.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Maine Secretary of State's office at https://www.maine.gov/sos/elections/.
- With Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared Golden not running again, there is an open seat for one of the most closely watched U.S. House races this year.
- The district voted for Trump by 9.5% in 2024 while re-electing Golden by less than one percent, making it the most presidentially-Republican congressional district held by a Democrat in the country, and is considered one of the best opportunities in non-redistricted seats for a Republican pickup.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026?
- Está previsto que Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026 se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria