Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 59.4%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado5 ago 25, 16:15 UTC6 ene 29, 17:08 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Resolves Yes if the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 is still publishing data when Donald Trump leaves office, No otherwise.
- At the time when Trump leaves office, I will check https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/datasets/OCO2_L2_Fwd_FP_11.2/summary?keywords=oco2%20v11.2 for recently published data, or look at another URL if that one is down and commenters suggest that the observatory is still publishing data at a different URL.
- If the OCO2 crashes into the atmosphere, becoming an incandescent trail of plasma and debris, this market may resolve early.
- https://www.npr.org/2025/08/04/nx-s1-5453731/nasa-carbon-dioxide-satellite-mission-threatened
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 survive the Trump administration??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 59% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 survive the Trump administration??
- Está previsto que Will the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 survive the Trump administration? se resuelva el 6 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 survive the Trump administration??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves Yes if the Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 is still publishing data when Donald Trump leaves office, No otherwise.