Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 91%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado23 mar 26, 11:51 UTC24 abr 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
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Resolution criteria
- The election will be held in April 2027, with a second round two weeks later if no candidate secures a majority vote.
- The market resolves YES if the winner of the 2027 French presidential election is a member of the Parti Socialiste (PS).
- Resolution will be based on official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
- Relations between France Insoumise and the Parti Socialiste are at rock bottom, with PS First Secretary Olivier Faure stating there will be no national pact with France Insoumise in the 2027 presidential elections.
- Several leftist groups have announced a primary in October 2026 to pick a united left candidate under the banner 'Front Populaire', with representatives from the Parti Socialiste, the Greens, and the Communists participating.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste??
- Está previsto que Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? se resuelva el 24 de abril de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria