¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the next president die while in office??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 29 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the next president die while in office??

Está previsto que Will the next president die while in office? se resuelva el 2 de febrero de 2029.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 85%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 12 horas

Desactualizado

2 ago 23, 5:44 UTC2 feb 29, 7:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

For the purpose of this market "next president" is the president elected in 2024 (and thus could be President Biden).

Market is not impacted if Biden dies before starting his second term - the relevant president would be the person who starts that term.
Resolves to no if the next president resigns or is removed, even if they then die before their term would have ended.