Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 67%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
26 ago 25, 15:54 UTC4 jul 29, 15:49 UTC
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Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
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Under UK law there is no fixed date for the next General Election (GE).
- However the law does state that the next GE must be held before 15th of August 2029.
- For the purposes of this question a full term will mean serving in government for more then 4 full years.
- Therefore if there is no GE before 4th of July 2028 then this question will resolve YES.
- The Labour party took office on early July 2024.
- It took office with a very low voter share and grown to become incredibly unpopular with student labour party groups disaffiliting from the party.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Labour party be in office for more than 4 years before the next general election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 67% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Labour party be in office for more than 4 years before the next general election??
- Está previsto que Will the Labour party be in office for more than 4 years before the next general election? se resuelva el 4 de julio de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Labour party be in office for more than 4 years before the next general election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Under UK law there is no fixed date for the next General Election (GE).