Will the global far-right alliances abolish and defunct all prediction markets before 2040?
18.7 pts (24h)CriptoOne-OffPolíticaRegulaciónGeopolítica13aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo, global far-right alliances will not achieve sufficient unified power to ban prediction markets. 68.7%+18.7ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+18.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado1 nov 26, 8:19 UTC31 dic 39, 11:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market where each added answer resolves independently:
- Each answer corresponding to an action, entity, or condition will resolve YES if, prior to January 1, 2040, that condition is met according to credible international reporting, official government/treaty publications, or observable market operations.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- If an option specifies that all prediction markets are abolished and rendered defunct globally:
- It resolves YES only if major public prediction market platforms (including centralized and decentralized platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, or their primary successors) are universally banned, blocked, or effectively shut down worldwide through coordinated international action, and no major legally operating or actively trading public prediction market survives.
