Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
TecnologíaOne-OffSpace2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 98%
Pronosticadores
35
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado8 sept 24, 18:55 UTC1 mar 29, 4:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
resolve YES if a crewed starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2028
- @/strutheo/will-the-first-uncrewed-starship-to
- @/strutheo/will-the-first-selfsustaining-base
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says??
- Está previsto que Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says? se resuelva el 1 de marzo de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: resolve YES if a crewed starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2028