Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 87.7%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado
29 may 26, 19:47 UTC31 dic 40, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
Resolves yes if the Democrats win the electoral vote in the 2028, 2032, 2036, and 2040 Presidential elections.
Resolves no as soon as a non-Democrat wins any of these elections.
In the unlikely event that a candidate wins the majority of the electoral vote but isn't inaugurated due to faithless electors or other post-election shenanigans, the original electoral vote winner is counted as having "won." If no candidate wins a majority of the electoral vote and it goes to the House, the winner in the House is considered to have won.
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040??
Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040??
Está previsto que Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2040.
¿Cómo se liquida Will The Democrats Win Every Presidential Election from 2028 to 2040??
Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves yes if the Democrats win the electoral vote in the 2028, 2032, 2036, and 2040 Presidential elections.