Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 58.7%
Pronosticadores
116
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado15 ene 24, 18:51 UTC22 feb 29, 6:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExSwedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent
KalshiReglas
Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.
- [Attention] Resolves 50% if an independent candidate is elected US president in 2028
- Resolves NA if the presidential election is not held in 2028.
- Resolves according to the opinion of mainstream liberal news sources like NYT, WaPo, Atlantic, etc. in case of a disputed result.
