Will the creator of any cryptocurrency be imprisoned for creating it before 2033?
BitcoinOne-OffRegulaciónCriptoCrimen y justicia6a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 94.5%
No 94.5%Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 59 minutos
Retrasado11 dic 22, 2:41 UTC1 ene 33, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will any new cryptocurrency become more popular than Bitcoin or Etherium before 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill regulation effectively kill decentralized cryptocurrency by the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill it be possible for transgender people to leave the US in 2026? (Can renew passports; Not imprisoned)
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu be imprisoned?
Manifold MarketsWill any cryptocurrency (other than Bitcoin) surpass the market cap of Ethereum in 2026?
FutuurWill CFTC regulate cryptocurrency spot markets by the end of 2026?
FutuurReglas
Inspired by https://www.fullstackeconomics.com/p/its-time-to-get-serious-about-regulating, particularly this quote:
- As I pointed out at the time, the US government’s arguments against Liberty Reserve could easily be used against Bitcoin.
- Indeed, I believe this is a big reason Satoshi Nakamoto chose to create Bitcoin using a pseudonym: If he had identified himself, he might have wound up in prison like Liberty Reserve founder Arthur Budovsky.
- Note that the rationale behind the imprisonment must simply be the creation of the cryptocurrency, not what they do with it later.
- SBF may go to prison, but it wasn't for creating FTT.
- In the event that the crimes they were charged with were something other than the creation of the cryptocurrency but it seems motivated by that, I'll resolve to PROB based on how much of the true reason for the government's focus on them seems to be the creation of the currency.
