Pronóstico comunitario actual
By 12-31-2028 62.5%Líder entre 13 opciones
Pronosticadores
77
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado26 oct 25, 11:38 UTC31 dic 27, 10:29 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsIs Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadWill any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Polymarket — AI bubble burst by...? · June 30, 2027 19%
