Pronóstico comunitario actual
By 12-31-2028 61%+1.0ptLíder entre 13 opciones
Pronosticadores
75
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado26 oct 25, 11:38 UTC31 dic 27, 10:29 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsIs Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
PolymarketWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
ETF
LIMITLESSAerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes71.5%
- No28.5%
- Volumen total
- 18,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 10,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↑ $193+21.9pt100%
- ↑ $192+28.4pt100%
- ↑ $191+22.9pt100%
+20 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 29,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,8 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $188+40.0pt100%
- ↑ $186+35.0pt100%
- ↑ $184+28.4pt100%
+34 resultados más
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- No86.1%
- Yes13.9%
- Volumen total
- 2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2 mil €
POLYMARKETAI bubble burst by which date?
- 2026+1.6pt13%
- March 31, 2026-0.1pt0%
- 2025+0.1pt0%
POLYMARKETEWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 10?
- Down+46.5pt97%
- Up-46.5pt3%
- Volumen total
- 60,2 €
- Volumen 24h
- 60,2 €
- Which bubble bursts first?
- EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 11?
- Bitcoin ETF Flows on September 14?
- Ethereum ETF Flows on September 14?
- SPY 900 by Sep 18 2026?
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?
- Ethereum ETF Flows on September 11?
- Bitcoin ETF Flows on September 11?
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?
- Will the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF - ARGT closes above US$100 at the end of 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- Manifold Markets cotiza By 12-31-2028 al 61% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- Está previsto que Will the AI bubble pop by X date? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.