Will the AAA national average gas price hit $4.500 before the November 3 midterms?
InflationQuarterlyCommodities1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 87%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado10 sept 26, 22:09 UTC3 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the AAA national average diesel price reach $6.500 or more on any day before November 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Average Gas Price Is $4.000 or more on November 1 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS gasoline CPI for September
KalshiWill gas hit __ by end of September?
PolymarketWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
LimitlessReglas
Resolves YES if the daily national average price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline, as published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ (the "Today's AAA National Average" figure), is $4.500 or higher on ANY day from 2026-09-11 through 2026-11-02 inclusive.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is a touch question: one qualifying day at or above $4.500 is enough, and the price falling back afterwards does not matter.
- Oracle: the AAA national average shown at gasprices.aaa.com.
- If AAA stops publishing the figure, resolution falls back to the EIA weekly U.S. Regular All Formulations Retail Gasoline Price (https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/) for the same window.
- Reference values on 2026-09-10: today $4.2770, yesterday $4.2245, one week ago $4.1436, one month ago $4.0091, one year ago $3.1938.
Mercados abiertos
InflationKALSHICPI core in September
- Above 0.0%98%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt88%
- Above 0.2%-3.0pt41%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 41,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,7 mil €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 3.3%98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 299,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 33,5 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt60%
- 3 (75 bps)+2.7pt21%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt17%
+3 resultados más
KALSHICPI in September
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 176,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 18,3 mil €
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%+5.0pt38%
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above-4.0pt37%
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.1% or below-5.0pt6%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike-6.5pt35%
- Hike–Hike–Pause+3.0pt26.2%
- Hike–Hike–Hike+3.0pt22.3%
+6 resultados más
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- CPI in October
- I bond fixed rate in November 2026
- Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the AAA national average gas price hit $4.500 before the November 3 midterms??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 87% a fecha de 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the AAA national average gas price hit $4.500 before the November 3 midterms??
- Está previsto que Will the AAA national average gas price hit $4.500 before the November 3 midterms? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the AAA national average gas price hit $4.500 before the November 3 midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the daily national average price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline, as published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ (the "Today's AAA National Average" figure), is $4.500 or higher on ANY day from 2026-09-11 through 2026-11-02 inclusive.