Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 88%
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado3 oct 25, 14:24 UTC8 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next UK General Election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill the next British Genaral election take place before the regular deadline in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWill Israel election happen as scheduled?
PolymarketLA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election takes place on its official date of November 7, 2028.
- Early or mail-in voting before that date does not affect resolution.
- Minor local delays (e.g., weather or logistical issues) do not count as postponement if the national Election Day proceeds as scheduled.
- Resolves NO if the election is postponed, canceled, or moved to a different date.
- Resolution will be based on announcements from official U.S. election authorities and confirmation by major media outlets.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled??
- Está previsto que Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled? se resuelva el 8 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election takes place on its official date of November 7, 2028.