Will Tesla start selling a vehicle using a new "AI 5" computer by the end of Q3 2027?
TecnologíaQuarterly11m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 5:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 73.5%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 minutos
16 jul 26, 14:01 UTC30 sept 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Tesla begins delivering production vehicles equipped with its next-generation "AI 5" (also known as "Hardware 5" or "HW5") computer to retail customers on or before September 30, 2027 (the end of Q3 2027).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key details and rules:
- Definition of "AI 5": The computer must be explicitly designated by Tesla as "AI 5," "Hardware 5," or "HW5", or similarly branded as a major improvement.
- Upgraded versions of older hardware, such as "AI 4.1" or "AI 4+", do not satisfy this requirement.
