Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
One-OffTecnología3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 79.9%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado1 ago 26, 16:22 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
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KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketReglas
The service allows anyone within some area (possibly a restricted area, possibly not) to hail an autonomous Tesla.
- They are either not able to or not required to drive it themselves.
- Dec 3, 7:12pm: Will Tesla provide an autonomous driving service before the end of 2026 → Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026
- Update 2026-01-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will not resolve YES until the service has a larger number of cars operating in the area.
- A small pilot program where most hail attempts result in a safety driver does not meet the resolution requirements for an autonomous service.
- Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the market to resolve YES, wait times must stay under 20 minutes over a practically broad area to count as the service being available.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 802,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volumen total
- 736,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 585,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 resultados más
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- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026?
- Está previsto que Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The service allows anyone within some area (possibly a restricted area, possibly not) to hail an autonomous Tesla.