Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026?
8.8 pts (24h)IATecnología4mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualN = 100 85.1%-8.8ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
87
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-6.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
2 jun 25, 20:0831 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has added answer options for the following values of N:
- Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the following definitions for how the market will be resolved:
- A robotaxi service is defined as one where a user can request a ride on-demand, similar to Uber or Lyft.
- It will still count if riders must first join a waitlist.
- The fleet size will be determined by the total number of Teslas used for an autonomous ride by someone other than the owner.
- A vehicle is considered "actively operating" if it provides at least one such ride within any given week.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza N = 100 al 85% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has added answer options for the following values of N: