¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Tesla give paid public Cybercab rides in a US metro outside Texas by April 30, 2027??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 90.3% a fecha de 28 de octubre de 2026.

Will Tesla give paid public Cybercab rides in a US metro outside Texas by April 30, 2027?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 90.3%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 11 minutos

8 sept 26, 1:49 UTC5 may 27, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Tesla began charging fares for rides in the purpose built Cybercab in Austin, Texas on September 3, 2026.

The Cybercab is the two seat, purpose built robotaxi with no steering wheel, no brake or accelerator pedal, and no physical side mirrors.
It is a different vehicle from the Model Y robotaxis that Tesla already operates in Austin, Dallas, Houston, Miami, Orlando, Tampa and the San Francisco Bay Area.
On the same day the Austin paid rides began, NHTSA opened Audit Query AQ26002, covering an estimated 1,000 Cybercabs.
The audit examines the process and technical data Tesla relied on when it self certified the Cybercab as compliant with all applicable Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards, including the extent to which Tesla determined that certain FMVSS requirements simply do not apply to a vehicle built without human driving controls.
Tesla did not seek a Part 555 exemption, the route Amazon's Zoox took.