Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 97.7%
No 97.7%Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado10 nov 22, 4:26 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many successful SpaceX launches in October 2026 UTC
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES upon any successful launch into a suborbital trajectory, conditional on it being capable to boost to orbit (regardless of if that succeeds).
- Resolves NO on close
