Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 83.4%
Sí 83.4%Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 43 minutos
22 may 23, 17:47 UTC1 ene 35, 0:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Falcon launch more times in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Falcon launch more times in 2028 than 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a Falcon 9 launch from the Guiana Space Centre before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiReglas
Currently SpaceX had launched rockets in the Falcon 9 family a total of 232 times.
- The expectation is that when Starship is operational, Falcon 9 will be phased out in favor of Starship.
- Will they launch at least 800 times before retiring the Falcon 9?
- This market includes early versions of Falcon 9 as well as current and potential future versions.
- It also includes Falcon Heavy, though each Heavy launch only counts once, not 3 times.
- This market does not count Falcon 1.