Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 79.4%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado2 jul 26, 17:36 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
A weather market includes weather futures, markets on snow, rain, temperature in a city.
- Things that would count: geoengineering, earthworks, reforestation
- An entity must manipulate the weather itself.
- The manipulation must have some reasonable intent of manipulating the prediction market.
- Manipulating a weather measurement device with false measurements does not count.
- However, manipulating a measurement device with real weather changes does count.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market??
- Está previsto que Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: A weather market includes weather futures, markets on snow, rain, temperature in a city.