Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Materias primasYearlyMacro y economíaChina2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 56%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado8 abr 26, 14:23 UTC31 dic 26, 5:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to December 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
