Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Materias primasDailyChina6d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 56.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 12 minutos
8 abr 26, 14:23 UTC31 oct 26, 4:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
