Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊
One-OffPolítica13aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.2%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado13 abr 24, 18:53 UTC1 ene 40, 12:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
will need to be in a nation, state, municipality etc. with over 1 Million residents
- "formally" meaning it is explicitly part of the political system for policymakers to consult prediction markets (e.g. explicit much like the political system in the US explicitly requires a certain number of votes in the senate for a law to be passed)
- e.g. a central bank deciding whether to raise or lower interest rates can, much like they use macroeconomic indicators, consult prediction markets -- and are explicitly allowed to do so
- It cannot be a pilot program / small-scale test
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 70% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊?
- Está previsto que Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: will need to be in a nation, state, municipality etc. with over 1 Million residents