Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 78.5%
Pronosticadores
29
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado4 jun 26, 23:33 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?
Manifold MarketsWill The Opportunities Party get a higher party vote percent than any of ACT, NZ First or greens?
Manifold MarketsLargest party in the next New Zealand general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
KalshiNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketReglas
2026 New Zealand general election - Wikipedia
- [link preview]currently, that means they’d need to win an electorate or get over 5% of the party vote.
- Win prizes by trading on this market: https://manifold.markets/post/prize-pool-of-5500-mana-for-the-202?r=SmFjazE
- More markets about the NZ election:
- https://manifold.markets/topic/nz-election-26-challenge?r=SmFjazE
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election??
- Está previsto que Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: 2026 New Zealand general election - Wikipedia