Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffUS Politics1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 84.2%
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8
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado30 abr 26, 21:27 UTC1 feb 28, 0:00 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post On today's panel with Bernie Sanders is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercados abiertos
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- $10M+9.8pt96%
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+4 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Está previsto que Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.