Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 57.8%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 31 minutos
22 jun 24, 5:12 UTC1 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 release before Spider-Man: Beyond the spider-verse?
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PolymarketWill Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if Noam is still alive at the time this movie releases in the USA, either on streaming or in theaters, whichever comes first.
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 319,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 98 mil €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 resultados más
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 80 mil €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 130,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 45,3 mil €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
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- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 58% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse??
- Está previsto que Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Noam Chomsky live to see Spider-Man Beyond the Spider-Verse??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if Noam is still alive at the time this movie releases in the USA, either on streaming or in theaters, whichever comes first.