Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 93.5%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado1 jul 26, 11:05 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Ocarina of Time remake release date
Manifold MarketsRemake/Remaster of Ocarina of Time within the next year
Manifold MarketsHow many copies will the remake of The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time sell in 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiHighest grossing movie in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Nintendo has missed deadlines before.
- In 2021, they announced a 2022 release window for Tears of the Kingdom, which was later pushed to May 2023.
- Nintendo has promised 2026 for the release, and the turnaround to that deadline is shorter than for TotK.
- Will they hit it?
- Resolves based on an average American consumer gaining access to the full game, less any bonus content/DLC/etc.
Mercados abiertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 319,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 98 mil €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 resultados más
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 80 mil €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 130,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 45,3 mil €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Nintendo deliver the Ocarina of Time remake in 2026 as promised??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Nintendo deliver the Ocarina of Time remake in 2026 as promised??
- Está previsto que Will Nintendo deliver the Ocarina of Time remake in 2026 as promised? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Nintendo deliver the Ocarina of Time remake in 2026 as promised??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Nintendo has missed deadlines before.