Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 60.2%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado15 abr 26, 18:07 UTC31 dic 26, 19:06 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if M explicitly states, either verbally or in writing, that he accepts the assertion that he does not annoy me.
- It will resolve to "No" if M explicitly rejects, disagrees with, or denies the assertion that he does not annoy me.
- Because this is a subjective interpersonal matter, the resolution depends on my assessment of the conversation.
- If no such conversation takes place or if M's response remains ambiguous, the market may resolve to "N/A" or be decided based on my best judgment of the interaction.
- This market concerns a personal interpersonal dynamic regarding whether a friend, M, acknowledges or accepts a specific boundary or sentiment regarding his behavior.
Mercados abiertos
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.9pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 659,9 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 23,8 mil €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volumen total
- 3,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 mil €
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volumen total
- 18,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 mil €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 15,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 952,8 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volumen total
- 49,8 mil €
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
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- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
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- Is Earth flat?
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- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 60% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me??
- Está previsto que Will my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria