Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 89%
Pronosticadores
68
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado28 nov 22, 18:47 UTC1 ene 31, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill more than 15% of the US population identify as vegan by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030, will 50% of voters identify as longtermists?
Manifold MarketsWill someone publicly self-identify as "the female version of Jose Luis Ricon" by 2028?
Manifold Markets# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
PolymarketOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiReglas
Resolves positively if, at any point between market creation and close, Mr. Beast (the YouTube personality) self-identifies with the effective altruism movement.