Will MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November?

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 87.8% a fecha de 25 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November??

Está previsto que Will MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November? se resuelva el 31 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cómo se liquida Will MNX commission a new longform piece about AI by a Manifold user before November??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: We're looking for AI-pilled writers for the MNX substack (https://blog.mnx.fi/)! If you're interested in writing about AI timelines, competitive dynamics between the labs, product releases, the compute buildout, or related topics, please DM me here on Manifold or on Discord.

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POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029-1.0pt20%
• 2028+1.0pt16%
• 2027-1.0pt8%

Volumen total

388,3 mil €

Volumen 24h

65,8 mil €

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.8pt53.2%
• Gemini-3.9pt34.9%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens88.5%
• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 650T tokens99.5%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-4.0pt56%
• 2026-1.5pt14%

+1 resultados más

Volumen total

898,3 mil €

Volumen 24h

41,9 mil €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt28%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.8pt19%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.6pt18%

+7 resultados más

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