Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?
PolíticaOne-OffGeopolíticaElección3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
No 51%
No 51%Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
3 ene 25, 14:17 UTC1 ene 30, 23:59 UTC
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Reglas
The UK and France have multiple bilateral agreements aimed at reducing Channel crossings, including increased patrols, surveillance technology, and joint operations.
- However, there is currently no formal mechanism for systematically returning migrant boats to France.
- French vessels have sometimes been observed escorting boats into UK waters, and migrants are often brought to the UK by Border Force or Coastguard after being encountered in the Channel.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if:
- For a continuous period of at least 30 days before 2030
