Will Mexico go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030?
InflationOne-OffEconomíaLatin America4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 69.2%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado27 may 25, 23:10 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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FutuurReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mexico experiences two or more calendar years of negative real GDP growth (i.e., a contraction in GDP) between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2030.
- The determination will be based on official annual GDP growth data published by Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) or other reputable sources such as the World Bank or the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
- If two or more years within this period show a negative percentage change in real GDP compared to the previous year, the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No".
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 541,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 334,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 resultados más
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 77,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,5 mil €
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Mexico go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Mexico go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030??
- Está previsto que Will Mexico go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Mexico go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria