Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 57.4%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado23 jun 26, 17:31 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if, by 23:59 ET on Dec 31, 2027, Meta Platforms makes a real money prediction market product (the app reported by NYT as internally codenamed "Arena," or any successor/rebrand) publicly available to general users in at least one market, via official launch or public beta.
- Users should be able stake and win real money or real-money-equivalent value (cash, crypto, redeemable credits).
- Sweepstakes or promotional models count as long as they pay out real-money value.
- Pure play-money, points-only, or free-to-play versions with no cash-equivalent payout do not count.
- Waitlist, internal-only test or unreleased announcement does not count.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
Mercados abiertos
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.9pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+32.5pt87%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $75,300 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 319,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 299,2 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
- 72,000+0.6pt100%
+8 resultados más
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027??
- Está previsto que Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Meta (Facebook) launches real money prediction market app by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if, by 23:59 ET on Dec 31, 2027, Meta Platforms makes a real money prediction market product (the app reported by NYT as internally codenamed "Arena," or any successor/rebrand) publicly available to general users in at least one market, via official launch or public beta.