Will Mary Peltola withdraw from the Alaska senate race?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20261d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.7%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado29 oct 26, 9:18 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Mary Peltola publicly announces the suspension, termination, or withdrawal of her candidacy from the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election, or files an official notice of withdrawal with the Alaska Division of Elections, on or before the close of polls on Election Day, November 3, 2026.
- This market resolves to NO if Mary Peltola does not withdraw her candidacy by the specified deadline and remains an active candidate through Election Day.
- Notes and Edge Cases:
- Involuntary removal from the ballot or legal disqualification by a court or election authority without a formal concession or withdrawal by Peltola or her campaign will resolve to NO, unless Peltola concurrently announces that she is voluntarily stepping down from the race.
- Credible public statements from Peltola, her official campaign, or verified reporting by major news outlets (such as the Associated Press) will serve as sufficient confirmation of withdrawal.