Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaElección3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 86.2%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado10 mar 26, 19:44 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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ForecastExReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio is serving as the 72nd United States Secretary of State on December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be verified through official U.S. State Department records or announcements from the White House or Congress regarding any change in the Secretary of State position.
- The market resolves NO if Rubio has resigned, been removed, or otherwise ceased serving in this role before the end date.
- Rubio was confirmed unanimously by the U.S. Senate and took office on January 21, 2025.
- On May 1, 2025, Trump announced that Rubio would become acting national security advisor, replacing Mike Waltz, while continuing to serve as secretary of state.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026??
- Está previsto que Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria