Will Lula win Brazil's October 25, 2026 runoff with at least 52% of the valid votes?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónAmérica LatinaManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (1.6%)
Resuelto: 25 oct 2026, 21:34
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Yes
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 27 oct 2026, 6:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes1.6%
No98.4%
Perdida
Ganada
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FutuurReglas
The runoff is between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro.
- Resolves YES if Lula wins the runoff and his share of the valid votes (votos válidos) is 52.00% or higher in the official results of Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
- Resolves NO otherwise (including if Lula loses).
- Resolves N/A if the runoff is postponed beyond November 15, 2026.
- Trading closes October 25, 2026 at 12:00 Paris time, before polls close.
- The creator will not bet on this market.
