Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.7%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado23 jul 26, 6:01 UTC31 jul 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What will happen when Andy Burnham is Prime Minister (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsOn what dates will Andy Burnham be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham Prime Minister longer than Boris Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PolymarketWhat will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PolymarketNext General Election - Prime Minister At Poll Opening - Andy Burnham
SmarketsReglas
Larry the Cat has outlasted 6 PMs in 10 Downing Street so far, with Andy being the seventh PM he’s served as Chief Mouser under.
- Will Larry the Cat outlast Burnham, and stay in Downing Street longer than him?
- Resolves NO upon the tragic death of Larry, or YES if Andy Burnham stops being the PM of the UK, and another person holds the role.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 111,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 25,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 843 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 184,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Volumen total
- 4,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 523,1 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,6 M €
- Texas Senate winner?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- TX-15 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 71% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure??
- Está previsto que Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure? se resuelva el 31 de julio de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Larry the Cat has outlasted 6 PMs in 10 Downing Street so far, with Andy being the seventh PM he’s served as Chief Mouser under.