Will Joe Biden live to see the opening of his Presidential Center?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 73.6%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado12 ago 26, 8:27 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on whether former President Joe Biden is alive at the time of the official opening of his physical presidential library or center.
- YES: Joe Biden is biologically alive on the day of the official grand opening, public opening, or dedication ceremony of the permanent, physical Joseph R. Biden Jr. Presidential Library and Museum (or Presidential Center), expected to be located in Delaware.
- NO: Joe Biden is confirmed deceased prior to the official opening or dedication ceremony of the physical facility.
- Clarifications:
- "Live to see" is defined strictly as being alive; physical presence at the opening ceremony or cognitive awareness is not required.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Joe Biden live to see the opening of his Presidential Center??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 74% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Joe Biden live to see the opening of his Presidential Center??
- Está previsto que Will Joe Biden live to see the opening of his Presidential Center? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Joe Biden live to see the opening of his Presidential Center??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria