Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.)
TecnologíaOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 65%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado23 jul 26, 17:49 UTC1 ene 28, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point between July 25, 2026, and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM (my local time), I travel to a location that is 500 or more miles away from my primary residence.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Measurement: Distance is measured as a straight-line ("as the crow flies") distance from my primary residence to my furthest point of travel, calculated using Google Maps or an equivalent mapping tool.
- Exclusions: Travel undertaken or completed on or before July 23, 2026, does not count toward this market.
- As of July 23, 2026, I am currently 496 miles away from home, which does not meet the 500-mile threshold and is excluded from the timeline.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 65% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.)?
- Está previsto que Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.) se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria