Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 90.7%
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado10 ene 23, 3:45 UTC1 ene 31, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Thus far, I've left my Manifold activities in broad daylight with my Twitter account linked and my name easily findable online.
- Will I regret doing so by 2030?
- I get utility from having as close to nothing as possible in my life hidden, and a secretive, alternate account kind of kills my vibe.
- I feel confident in my markets and trades, and there's nothing that I can think of that I wouldn't share with a loved one or employer.
- I also think being non-anon makes it easier to make friends online, which I've already started to do on Manifold.
- However, if something bad were to happen (e.g., lose my job/income potential, lose a relationship, get murdered by an assassination market on Manifold, etc.) because of not being anonymous, that would very likely make me wish that I had been anonymous.
Mercados abiertos
SportsKALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Max Greyserman+5.0pt5.7%
- Eric Cole+3.5pt5.7%
- Ben Kohles+3.5pt4.8%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 15,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 M €
KALSHIBMW PGA Championship Winner
- Ludvig Åberg+7.1pt11.7%
- Aaron Rai+6.3pt8.1%
- Adam Scott+5.7pt7.2%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins (Sep 16, 2026)
- MIN75%
- NYY-32.0pt25%
- Volumen total
- 3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 3 M €
KALSHIMilwaukee vs Pittsburgh
- Pittsburgh+46.0pt89.1%
- Milwaukee-47.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,8 M €
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville End of Round 1 Leader
- Max Greyserman+15.5pt14.5%
- Eric Cole+12.6pt12%
- Benjamin James+5.0pt6%
+97 resultados más
KALSHIReal Betis vs Getafe
- Real Betis+24.0pt82.2%
- Tie-12.0pt13.9%
- Getafe-13.0pt4%
- Volumen total
- 2,2 M €
- DET Lions vs BUF Bills
- Mannarino vs Bobichon
- Detroit vs Buffalo: Touchdowns
- Los Angeles D vs Cincinnati
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- LSU vs Ole Miss
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC
- Rotterdam Dockers vs Dublin Guardians
- Catanzarite vs Cinalli
- A's vs Tampa Bay
- Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030??
- Está previsto que Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Thus far, I've left my Manifold activities in broad daylight with my Twitter account linked and my name easily findable online.